Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2369.152865 2560.770902 2753.130432 2960.403128 3177.120570 3396.721005 3635.758190
2026-01-11 2053.902464 2340.890915 2638.083504 2967.633132 3321.662579 3689.454767 4099.316771
2026-01-18 1844.995230 2191.463354 2558.889639 2975.079654 3430.997243 3912.987599 4458.810933
2026-01-25 1684.428079 2074.041896 2495.753823 2982.020601 3523.284456 4103.580030 4769.099411
2026-02-01 1532.445666 1952.256931 2415.411745 2958.229717 3571.153572 4236.440063 5007.857513
2026-02-08 1417.784541 1863.618508 2364.086882 2959.197688 3639.637022 4386.105974 5259.778396
2026-02-15 1304.196301 1768.409019 2298.451267 2937.583789 3677.080588 4496.444866 5463.745005
2026-02-22 1243.395531 1731.195557 2296.218528 2985.455538 3790.694975 4690.093550 5759.225722
2026-03-01 1170.345901 1674.623414 2267.360024 2998.864058 3861.754181 4833.177468 5995.708515
2026-03-08 1084.302395 1597.355000 2209.806821 2974.824535 3886.195391 4920.433630 6166.517005
2026-03-15 995.519305 1512.024000 2138.565509 2930.878447 3884.181857 4974.648558 6297.251985
2026-03-22 987.710631 1528.856327 2191.795646 3036.421968 4058.739997 5233.700729 6664.400246
2026-03-29 948.036626 1503.712822 2193.092416 3079.733549 4160.938538 5410.911968 6940.364806
2026-04-05 894.638109 1458.150546 2167.052763 3088.218926 4220.585003 5537.959574 7158.215857
2026-04-12 844.844193 1414.824292 2141.778083 3095.885821 4277.843448 5661.179561 7370.893167
2026-04-19 798.370102 1373.635838 2117.351063 3103.001814 4333.161059 5781.184824 7579.169806
2026-04-26 742.055941 1316.082760 2069.462847 3078.613919 4348.299240 5852.074410 7728.550114
2026-05-03 699.647757 1275.927990 2042.689806 3079.606218 4393.575620 5958.236206 7919.143755
2026-05-10 651.121355 1224.602785 1999.159484 3057.448393 4408.765130 6027.141172 8064.618481
2026-05-17 632.077276 1215.202360 2011.162104 3106.522837 4512.563348 6203.109097 8338.067272
2026-05-24 601.445131 1187.149568 1996.736264 3120.266909 4571.337410 6323.976279 8545.284041
2026-05-31 559.308080 1139.704869 1954.112566 3095.625384 4580.533558 6383.541779 8678.155736
2026-06-07 513.016790 1083.445834 1897.334670 3050.573998 4562.408604 6408.537533 8768.406189